Hello. I am a person who has been active mainly in the stock community and the Ddanji community.
I mainly deal with statistics and derivatives markets, such as traditional regression analysis. Some of you here may have seen me before. There is a strategist analyst on Ddanji who is excellent at insight. I strongly recommend referring to him. Also, I have been watching the analysis articles of people like Goso Mi, and today I am writing for the first time to greet you.
I started statistical analysis to find the reasons for the huge drop in July and to look into the rebound point and trend changes. The partner is oppus / sonnet 5.0 version. This update was made to oppus 5.0. It is a docx file using raw data, and it includes multivariate regression analysis using cumulative data for over two years (from November 2024). The main variables include "Commercial Law Amendment, Iran War, Samsung Nix's Rebellion," etc.
This analysis article is updated as of the closing price on Friday, August 14th. Only those who are interested may refer to it.
However, the difference in perspective can arise from
1) Was May and June a deviation from the overheated trend?
2) Was July an excessive drop due to the deviation from the overheated trend?
I believe that May and June were deviations from the overheated trend, and we are currently entering the stage of normalization. Other interpretations are also possible.
I hope to read many good articles from you all and communicate with each other in the future.
▶ Original source: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1N92VJGIua07a4uPBv6cPqLuxf6hCDGRH/edit?usp=drive_link&ouid=114517361703957635844&rtpof=true&sd=true
